Brexit Discussion Group

  • Polls and the Pound

    By Chris Towner, Director at JCRA

    With the festive season upon us, voting in the general election sits right in the middle of our collective Christmas ‘to do’ list.

    The last time the UK held a general election in December was in 1923, and it was an experience the Conservative Party would rather not repeat. Having won…[Read more]

  • Do the main parties’ manifestos deliver for personal investors?

    Following a survey of its customer base, The Share Centre found the three things personal investors most wanted in the main parties’ manifestos were; a commitment to stability in the tax environment, an increased emphasis on financial education and increased incentives to enc…[Read more]

  • Labour’s manifesto has ruffled a few feathers

    Adrian Lowcock, head of personal investing at Willis Owen, an investment platform in the UK said:

    “Labour’s manifesto has ruffled a few feathers and sent shivers down the spines of both investors and companies in the UK. The effect of a Labour victory on the 13th December on British investors c…[Read more]

  • The different UK election outcomes and what they could mean for markets

    By Rupert Thompson, Head of Research at Kingswood

    We have recently added to our UK equity holdings, eliminating the bulk of our longstanding underweight of UK equities. Although uncertainties undoubtedly remain, our view is that the risk of the two most market unfriendly…[Read more]

  • Personal investors remain undecided on who to vote for ahead of General Election

    Over three quarters of investors believe the Conservatives understand the needs of personal investors best, but would like to see parties promise stability in the tax system and continued support for incentives to invest.

    With the much talked about General…[Read more]

  • Commenting on market reaction to a UK general election being called on the 12th December, Olivier Konzeoue, FX Sales Trader at Saxo Markets, said: “Market reaction was rather muted although GBP reacted positively and the FTSE currently trades heavy – Sterling’s relative strength being one of the factors. The prospect of a snap election rep…[Read more]

  • Election 2019: Expect the pound and UK financial assets to be increasingly volatile

    The pound and UK financial assets will be volatile in the run-up to Britain’s first December general election since 1923 – and will remain so in the event of another hung parliament.

    This is the warning from Nigel Green, CEO and founder of deVere Group, one of…[Read more]

  • EU agrees on need for Brexit extension but cannot decide on length

    EU ambassadors have agreed that a Brexit extension is needed but have postponed a decision on how long to delay Britain’s exit from the bloc until next week.

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  • Corbyn’s election rejection means MORE strife for the pound and UK economy

    The Brexit-pummelled pound – the worst-performing major currency of the G10 – is going to fall further following Jeremy Corbyn’s instruction to MPs to abstain on Monday’s general election vote.

    The bleak warning is from Nigel Green, CEO and founder of deVere Group, one o…[Read more]

  • Sterling – what next?

    By Chris Towner, Director at JCRA

    Volatility in the FX markets often hinges on uncertainty. With all the noise surrounding Brexit, which reached a crescendo over the weekend, it is therefore unsurprising that sterling has been subject to significant movements.

    In the last 10 trading days, the pound has rallied…[Read more]

  • Speaker’s refusal won’t hit pound but inflicts more uncertainty on business and economy

    The pound will experience a short-term relief rally, but John Bercow’s refusal to allow a Meaningful Vote on the new Brexit deal will further weigh on the UK economy.

    This is the stark warning from Nigel Green, the CEO and founder of deVere Group, one of th…[Read more]

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  • Brexit vote: UK economy delivered a fresh blow by ANOTHER Brexit delay

    The UK economy has been delivered another fresh blow following the drama that has taken place in the British parliament on Saturday.

    This is the stark message from the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organisations.

    The comments from Nigel G…[Read more]

  • Could SMEs and investors be the big winners from new deal?

    A Brexit deal has been agreed between UK and EU negotiating teams before a meeting of European leaders in Brussels.

    Prime Minister Boris Johnson tweeted: “We’ve got a great new deal that takes back control.”

    The deal is yet to be approved by Parliament but could signal the…[Read more]

  • Commenting on a Brexit deal and a big win for Boris, Artur Baluszynski, Head of Research at Henderson Rowe, said: “Big win for Boris. If he manages to get it through parliament, we should see a wave of “risk-on” trades coming into UK market. However, let us wait and see all the details and then let the markets decide how likely it is for the UK pa…[Read more]

  • Commenting on Sterling’s reaction to reports of UK/EU negotiators closing in on a Brexit deal, Andy Scott, Associate Director at JCRA, said: “It’s always interesting to see how a deadline – such as the one set by Michel Barnier this morning for a deal tonight – can cause a significant jump in Sterling volatility.

    “There is much anticipatio…[Read more]

  • How a ‘big Deal’ will not end Brexit and the US-China trade war

    By Rupert Thompson, Head of Research at Kingswood

    It proved to be an unexpectedly eventful week with the agreement of a limited US-China trade deal and the move towards a Brexit Deal. Global equities ended the week up 1.1% in local currency terms although, because of a bounce in…[Read more]

  • UK GDP: “At this point even a no deal Brexit will remove the uncertainty preventing business from doing its job and improve the short term economic outlook”

    Phil Smeaton, Chief Investment Officer at Sanlam UK said: “The past quarter has been one of stagnant growth for the UK, whilst creeping towards the likelihood of a recession. Such weak g…[Read more]

  • Commenting on Angela Merkel telling Boris Johnson that a Brexit deal is ‘overwhelmingly unlikely’, Artur Baluszynski, Head of Research at Henderson Rowe, said: “With very little common ground, there appears to be very little benefit in continuing to negotiate. A no deal is the most likely outcome, both sides will now focus their attentions on a…[Read more]

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